[Vnbiz] China reasserts claim on South China Sea islands, but says it's open to talks with Vietnam

[Tran Dinh Hoanh]

Dear anh Shane & CACC,

Very good logic, anh Shane.

But I would never say "never" :-)  Or to change slightly, I would never say
"forever," like Hoang Sa (Paracels) is lost to China forever.   World
politics changes.  You never know what may come your way if you continue
your claim and don't give it up.

*  First, I would not count on China's stability on the long run.  "Chua mot
cot" (the one-column temple) is nice to look at, but it can house only one
or two monks at most.  You don't want to house your family in a "nha mot
cot" (one-column house), do you?  One-column carries with it great
instability.  Same thing with a one-party system.  I really don't think that
China's leaders have to capacity to see this point, because their
civilization, up until this point, is nha mot cot.  (But I do believe that
the Vietnamese leaders can grasp this point).

The world is moving at the Internet speed and the Chinese people will all
move at the Internet speed, and their leaders won't be able to catch up.  I
can bet on a major upheaval in China within my lifetime.  It could come as
early as 10 years from now.

When politics shift tremendously, new alliances form; all kinds of
negotiations and renegotations may be done if one is intelligent enough to
do it.

*  Second, if Vietnam continues to grow strong economically, strength will
help in future negotiations.  Muscles--economic, military, political,
brainpower--always help.

You never know what is in your future, so never give up.  Be resolute, be
patient, be strong, and be ready.  If you keep your faith long enough, the
time will come.

Have a great day!

Hoanh
________________
On Jan 25, 2008 1:43 PM, Shane Wall <shane.wall at translingualexpress.com>
wrote:

> [ Vietnam Business Forum ]
>
>
> Hi Sis Thuy and CACC,
>   Sis, from my personal experience 'on the inside' of Navy Intelligence
> circles, I can tell you that the U.S., Japan and Australia have the
> Truong Sa issues much higher on there "to be watched" list than all of
> the other littoral states concerned.
>
>   What Vietnamese people need to understand is that the Hoang Sa have
> been lost to China forever, and the Truong Sa will NEVER be totally
> Vietnamese. These are the facts as I see them. It would take a book to
> explain why, but over 10 years of having to report military commanders
> and politicians about these very issues has led me to arrive at this
> conclusion.
>
>   Before anybody raises their voices and shouts me down, it might be a
> good idea to look at the history of Vietnam. There is a very, very good
> reason why Cambodians refer to a very large part of the Mekong Delta in
> the current State of Vietnam as "Kampuchea Krom" - Southern Cambodia.
> The reason is that the Vietnamese Kinh peoples invaded those lands and
> incorporated that area into what has become the Vietnam of today. Will
> you give up your 'rights' to these parts of the Mekong Delta?
>
>   Sis Thuy, most of the other countries with a 'stake' in the Spratlys
> rarely "rise to the bait" of Beijing sabre-rattling because they know
> the Chinese are incapable of forcing all of them out of this area of the
> SCS, either politically, economically or militarily.
>
>   Vietnam is the loudest and most vociferous opponent of Chinese words
> and actions in regard to this issue. For that, the Government and the
> people should be commended. However, it would serve all of us well to
> remember that the current Nation State has been established by the Kinh
> people conquering lands once possessed by others!
>
>   We live in a "glass house", let us not throw rocks at others!
>
> Shane
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
> Mr. Shane Wall
> Managing Director
>
> Trans Lingual Express
> 188/16 Nguyen Thuong Hien St,
> P.1, Q. Go Vap, HCMC,
> Vietnam
>
> Mail: shane.wall at translingualexpress.com
> Web: www.translingualexpress.com
>
> Ph: +84 (8) 588 1701
>
> Mbl: +84 (090) 9484 753 (English)
> Mbl: +84 (090) 7885 375 (Vietnamese)
>
> --
> Tran Dinh Hoanh, Esq., LLB, JD
> Washington DC
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