[Vnbiz] EIU Vietnam Agriculture Production and Demand

Craig Stevenson cstevenson2000 at gmail.com
Fri Oct 6 06:26:13 PDT 2006


Dzung,

Thanks.  Will send more today.  When I get back to Hanoi I'll send a note,
would love to grab a cup with you.

Craig


On 10/5/06, Dzung Nguyen <dnguyen.lse at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
> [Vietnam Business Forum]
>
>
>
>
>
>
> I just want to say thank a million, Craig! I hope you will continue to
> send such reports for us in the future too. If you're around in Hanoi, I'll
> thank you by a coffee. How does that sound?
>
> Dzung Nguyen (Hanoi)
>
>
>
>
>
> On 10/4/06, Craig Stevenson <cstevenson2000 at gmail.com> wrote:
> >
> >
> > [Vietnam Business Forum]
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > Hi,
> >
> > As its VnBzrs, I will continue to post such data.  Glad you enjoyed it.
> >
> > Craig
> >
> > Thanks to EIU.
> >
> >
> > On 10/3/06, Tahong Phuc <tahongphuc at gmail.com > wrote:
> > >
> > >
> > > [Vietnam Business Forum]
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >  Thank you very much, Stevenson!
> > > I am trying to find these numbers, few days ago. Then, this morning, I
> > > got them all here.
> > >
> > > Thank you!
> > > ^_^
> > >
> > >
> > > Yours truly,
> > >
> > > ---
> > > Tahong Phuc
> > > =========================================
> > > Customer Oriented Innovation
> > > **
> > > **
> > > *Waltzsoft Co., Ltd.*
> > > 2nd Floor - VAEC Building
> > > 185 Hoang Quoc Viet str, Cau Giay dist, Hanoi
> > > Tel: +84 912 598 996
> > > Email:  phucth at waltzsoft.com
> > >
> > >
> > >  ------------------------------
> > > *From:* vnbiz-bounces at mail.saigon.com [mailto:vnbiz-bounces at mail.saigon.com]
> > > *On Behalf Of *Craig Stevenson
> > > *Sent:* Wednesday, October 04, 2006 5:27 AM
> > > *To:* vnbiz at vietlinks.net
> > > *Subject:* [Vnbiz] EIU Vietnam Agriculture Production and Demand
> > >
> > >
> > >  Vietnam agriculture: Production and demand
> > >    Printer version<http://www.viewswire.com.ezproxy.umuc.edu/index.asp?layout=IwPrintVW3&article_id=1581135143&printer=printer>
> > >  September 4th 2006
> > >
> > >    FROM THE ECONOMIST INTELLIGENCE UNIT
> > >
> > > Cropping intensity and yields have increased
> > >
> > > Although Vietnam is still a predominantly an agricultural society,
> > > cultivated land is scarce, at just 0.12 ha per head, one of the lowest
> > > rates in the world. Only about 20% of the land is arable, and another 6% is
> > > devoted to permanent crops. Some of the remaining land may have potential,
> > > but most of it has been degraded by soil erosion, usually because of
> > > deforestation or, in the deltas, by saline or acid-sulphate conditions.
> > > About 70,000 ha per year of cultivated land is lost to soil exhaustion and
> > > urban encroachment. Against this background, it is surprising that the area
> > > of land sown to crops (including tree crops) continues to increase, reaching
> > > 13.2m ha in 2004, up from around 10m ha in the early 1990s. Of the
> > > total cultivated area, around 60% is devoted to rice and a further 25% is
> > > sown to other annual crops, with the remainder being given over to perennial
> > > crops. About 20% of the increase in land area has been used to grow
> > > perennial industrial crops, such as rubber, cashew nuts, tea and coffee, and
> > > 30% comes from additional paddy land that has become available as a result
> > > of investment in irrigation.
> > >
> > > Rice yields remain high
> > >
> > > Rice yields have more than doubled since the disastrous year of 1978,
> > > when they averaged 1.79 tonnes/ha. In 2005 the yield of paddy rice
> > > stood at 4.9 tonnes/ha, up slightly from the yield recorded in 2004.
> > > The use of (mainly imported) chemical fertiliser per cropped ha has risen,
> > > such that fertiliser applications are now at a higher rate than in Indonesia
> > > but still well below that in China. The rise in yields has allowed
> > > Vietnam to maintain its position as one of the world's top three rice
> > > exporters for almost a decade, and was one of the most immediate pay-offs
> > > from the thorough reform of the rural economy undertaken in 1989.
> > >
> > > The area under coffee cultivation begins to fall
> > >
> > > The area planted to coffee rose rapidly from 101,000 ha in 1993 to
> > > 565,000 ha in 2000, before declining to 503,200 ha in 2004. Coffee output
> > > followed the same trajectory, rising from 136,000 tonnes in 1993 to 841,000
> > > tonnes by 2001 before slipping back to an average of around 780,000 tonnes a
> > > year in 2002-04. Most of this coffee, which is almost all of the
> > > lower-priced robusta variety, is exported. In 1997 Vietnam overtook
> > > Indonesia to become the largest coffee exporter in Asia; in 2000 it became
> > > the second-largest exporter (by volume) in the world, after Brazil. Coffee
> > > exports reached 974,800 tonnes in 2004, up from an average of around 785,000
> > > tonnes a year in 2000-03, but dropped to 885,000 tonnes in 2005 partly in
> > > response to the government's effort to reduce output in order to bolster
> > > prices. Vietnamese firms have increasingly moved into downstream processing,
> > > making substantial investments in roasting and in the production of instant
> > > coffee.
> > >
> > > Output of industrial crops rises rapidly
> > >
> > > The output of most industrial crops was stagnant until about 1994,
> > > when output of sugarcane (which recorded 16% annual growth in 1994-99) and
> > > soybeans increased strongly. Cotton output rose sharply in 1998, but the
> > > growth momentum has not been maintained. Output of the minor cropsjute and
> > > rushhas been largely stagnant. The area planted to perennial industrial
> > > crops expanded rapidly during the 1980s, with coffee clearly the best
> > > performer.
> > >
> > > Tea. Vietnam produced 488,000 tonnes of fresh tea in 2004, up from
> > > 315,000 tonnes in 2000. Tea exports rose sharply in 2004 to 99,400 tonnes,
> > > up from only 55,700 tonnes in 2000.
> > >
> > > Rubber. Rubber cultivation has benefited both from an expansion in the
> > > cultivated area, from 180,000 ha in 1985 to 450,000 ha by 2004, and from the
> > > replanting of land with new high-yielding varieties, often with assistance
> > > from Malaysia and Taiwan. Yields have now risen remarkably, from 0.27tonnes/ha in 1985 to
> > > 0.89 tonnes/ha in 2004, and the quality of rubber produced has
> > > improved. Rubber output reached 400,100 tonnes in 2004, more than four times
> > > the level recorded in the early 1990s. Officially recorded exports rose to
> > > 513,300 tonnes in 2004, rising from an annual average of 367,000 tonnes in
> > > 2000-03. However, substantial (although unknown) quantities were also
> > > smuggled into China, in order to evade import duties there.
> > >
> > > Sugarcane. Although processing capacity has trebled to 70,000 tonnes
> > > of cane per day since 1994, the result of a government programme aimed at
> > > making Vietnam self-sufficient in sugar production, the area under
> > > cultivation reached 320,000 ha in 2002, up from 166,000 ha in 1994, but
> > > dropped to 287,000 ha in 2004. Sugar output reached a record 16.9mtonnes in 2003 before declining to
> > > 14.7m tonnes in 2005, when drought hit parts of the country.
> > >
> > > Demand for meat grows
> > >
> > > Rising affluence and population growth of around 1.4% per year has
> > > increased the demand for meat. The number of pigs rose to around 26m in 2004
> > > from around 16m in the mid-1990s, and the quality of pig meat has improved.
> > > Poultry meat output has also risen rapidly, with the number of poultry birds
> > > reaching around 255m in 2004, compared with around 150m in the mid-1990s.
> > > However, poultry stock fell sharply in 2004 as Vietnam was hit by the
> > > virulent H5N1 strain of avian influenza (bird flu), with more than 46m
> > > birds, around 20% of the poultry stock, being culled in an effort to curb
> > > the spread of the virus.
> > >
> > >   The Economist Intelligence Unit
> > > Source: Country Profile<http://www.viewswire.com.ezproxy.umuc.edu/accessFullReport.asp?product_id=30000203>
> > >
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