[Vnbiz] EIU Vietnam Agriculture Production and Demand

Dzung Nguyen dnguyen.lse at gmail.com
Thu Oct 5 20:55:24 PDT 2006


I just want to say thank a million, Craig! I hope you will continue to send
such reports for us in the future too. If you're around in Hanoi, I'll thank
you by a coffee. How does that sound?

Dzung Nguyen (Hanoi)





On 10/4/06, Craig Stevenson <cstevenson2000 at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
> [Vietnam Business Forum]
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Hi,
>
> As its VnBzrs, I will continue to post such data.  Glad you enjoyed it.
>
> Craig
>
> Thanks to EIU.
>
>
> On 10/3/06, Tahong Phuc <tahongphuc at gmail.com> wrote:
> >
> >
> > [Vietnam Business Forum]
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >  Thank you very much, Stevenson!
> > I am trying to find these numbers, few days ago. Then, this morning, I
> > got them all here.
> >
> > Thank you!
> > ^_^
> >
> >
> > Yours truly,
> >
> > ---
> > Tahong Phuc
> > =========================================
> > Customer Oriented Innovation
> > **
> > **
> > *Waltzsoft Co., Ltd.*
> > 2nd Floor - VAEC Building
> > 185 Hoang Quoc Viet str, Cau Giay dist, Hanoi
> > Tel: +84 912 598 996
> > Email:  phucth at waltzsoft.com
> >
> >
> >  ------------------------------
> > *From:* vnbiz-bounces at mail.saigon.com [mailto:vnbiz-bounces at mail.saigon.com]
> > *On Behalf Of *Craig Stevenson
> > *Sent:* Wednesday, October 04, 2006 5:27 AM
> > *To:* vnbiz at vietlinks.net
> > *Subject:* [Vnbiz] EIU Vietnam Agriculture Production and Demand
> >
> >
> >  Vietnam agriculture: Production and demand
> >    Printer version<http://www.viewswire.com.ezproxy.umuc.edu/index.asp?layout=IwPrintVW3&article_id=1581135143&printer=printer>
> >  September 4th 2006
> >
> >    FROM THE ECONOMIST INTELLIGENCE UNIT
> >
> > Cropping intensity and yields have increased
> >
> > Although Vietnam is still a predominantly an agricultural society,
> > cultivated land is scarce, at just 0.12 ha per head, one of the lowest
> > rates in the world. Only about 20% of the land is arable, and another 6% is
> > devoted to permanent crops. Some of the remaining land may have potential,
> > but most of it has been degraded by soil erosion, usually because of
> > deforestation or, in the deltas, by saline or acid-sulphate conditions.
> > About 70,000 ha per year of cultivated land is lost to soil exhaustion and
> > urban encroachment. Against this background, it is surprising that the area
> > of land sown to crops (including tree crops) continues to increase, reaching
> > 13.2m ha in 2004, up from around 10m ha in the early 1990s. Of the total
> > cultivated area, around 60% is devoted to rice and a further 25% is sown to
> > other annual crops, with the remainder being given over to perennial crops.
> > About 20% of the increase in land area has been used to grow perennial
> > industrial crops, such as rubber, cashew nuts, tea and coffee, and 30% comes
> > from additional paddy land that has become available as a result of
> > investment in irrigation.
> >
> > Rice yields remain high
> >
> > Rice yields have more than doubled since the disastrous year of 1978,
> > when they averaged 1.79 tonnes/ha. In 2005 the yield of paddy rice stood
> > at 4.9 tonnes/ha, up slightly from the yield recorded in 2004. The use
> > of (mainly imported) chemical fertiliser per cropped ha has risen, such that
> > fertiliser applications are now at a higher rate than in Indonesia but still
> > well below that in China. The rise in yields has allowed Vietnam to
> > maintain its position as one of the world's top three rice exporters for
> > almost a decade, and was one of the most immediate pay-offs from the
> > thorough reform of the rural economy undertaken in 1989.
> >
> > The area under coffee cultivation begins to fall
> >
> > The area planted to coffee rose rapidly from 101,000 ha in 1993 to
> > 565,000 ha in 2000, before declining to 503,200 ha in 2004. Coffee output
> > followed the same trajectory, rising from 136,000 tonnes in 1993 to 841,000
> > tonnes by 2001 before slipping back to an average of around 780,000 tonnes a
> > year in 2002-04. Most of this coffee, which is almost all of the
> > lower-priced robusta variety, is exported. In 1997 Vietnam overtook
> > Indonesia to become the largest coffee exporter in Asia; in 2000 it became
> > the second-largest exporter (by volume) in the world, after Brazil. Coffee
> > exports reached 974,800 tonnes in 2004, up from an average of around 785,000
> > tonnes a year in 2000-03, but dropped to 885,000 tonnes in 2005 partly in
> > response to the government's effort to reduce output in order to bolster
> > prices. Vietnamese firms have increasingly moved into downstream processing,
> > making substantial investments in roasting and in the production of instant
> > coffee.
> >
> > Output of industrial crops rises rapidly
> >
> > The output of most industrial crops was stagnant until about 1994, when
> > output of sugarcane (which recorded 16% annual growth in 1994-99) and
> > soybeans increased strongly. Cotton output rose sharply in 1998, but the
> > growth momentum has not been maintained. Output of the minor cropsjute and
> > rushhas been largely stagnant. The area planted to perennial industrial
> > crops expanded rapidly during the 1980s, with coffee clearly the best
> > performer.
> >
> > Tea. Vietnam produced 488,000 tonnes of fresh tea in 2004, up from
> > 315,000 tonnes in 2000. Tea exports rose sharply in 2004 to 99,400 tonnes,
> > up from only 55,700 tonnes in 2000.
> >
> > Rubber. Rubber cultivation has benefited both from an expansion in the
> > cultivated area, from 180,000 ha in 1985 to 450,000 ha by 2004, and from the
> > replanting of land with new high-yielding varieties, often with assistance
> > from Malaysia and Taiwan. Yields have now risen remarkably, from 0.27tonnes/ha in 1985 to
> > 0.89 tonnes/ha in 2004, and the quality of rubber produced has improved.
> > Rubber output reached 400,100 tonnes in 2004, more than four times the level
> > recorded in the early 1990s. Officially recorded exports rose to 513,300
> > tonnes in 2004, rising from an annual average of 367,000 tonnes in 2000-03.
> > However, substantial (although unknown) quantities were also smuggled into
> > China, in order to evade import duties there.
> >
> > Sugarcane. Although processing capacity has trebled to 70,000 tonnes of
> > cane per day since 1994, the result of a government programme aimed at
> > making Vietnam self-sufficient in sugar production, the area under
> > cultivation reached 320,000 ha in 2002, up from 166,000 ha in 1994, but
> > dropped to 287,000 ha in 2004. Sugar output reached a record 16.9mtonnes in 2003 before declining to
> > 14.7m tonnes in 2005, when drought hit parts of the country.
> >
> > Demand for meat grows
> >
> > Rising affluence and population growth of around 1.4% per year has
> > increased the demand for meat. The number of pigs rose to around 26m in 2004
> > from around 16m in the mid-1990s, and the quality of pig meat has improved.
> > Poultry meat output has also risen rapidly, with the number of poultry birds
> > reaching around 255m in 2004, compared with around 150m in the mid-1990s.
> > However, poultry stock fell sharply in 2004 as Vietnam was hit by the
> > virulent H5N1 strain of avian influenza (bird flu), with more than 46m
> > birds, around 20% of the poultry stock, being culled in an effort to curb
> > the spread of the virus.
> >
> >  The Economist Intelligence Unit
> > Source: Country Profile<http://www.viewswire.com.ezproxy.umuc.edu/accessFullReport.asp?product_id=30000203>
> >
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