[Vnbiz] EIU 5 year forecast
Craig Stevenson
cstevenson2000 at gmail.com
Tue Oct 3 15:11:39 PDT 2006
Data summary: Asia and Australasia
Asia & Australasiaa 2001b 2002b 2003b 2004b 2005c 2006c 2007c 2008c 2009
c 2010c Economic growth (% at market exchange-rate weights) GDP 2.1 2.9 4.0
4.8 4.7 5.0 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.9 Private consumption 2.8 2.9 2.3 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.7
3.8 3.7 3.8 Government consumption 3.9 3.5 3.0 3.3 2.7 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.5
2.5 Gross
investment 1.2 1.4 7.3 7.5 6.2 6.1 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.4 Exports of goods &
servicesd -2.7 11.1 12.8 17.7 10.8 11.0 9.4 9.1 8.9 8.9 Imports of goods &
servicesd -2.0 8.4 10.5 16.4 8.7 10.5 9.3 9.6 9.9 9.7 Domestic demand 2.5
2.6 3.7 4.8 4.3 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 GDP growth per head 0.9 1.8 2.9 3.7 3.6
3.9 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.9 Economic growth (% at PPP weights) GDP 4.3 5.1 6.5 7.1
7.0 6.9 6.2 6.0 5.7 5.7 Population, income and market size
Population (m) 3,367 3,405 3,443 3,481 3,518 3,555 3,592 3,630 3,664
3,699 GDP
(US$ bn at market exchange rates) 7,941 8,092 8,990 10,045 10,734 11,454
12,780 13,806 14,757 15,736 GDP per head (US$ at market exchange rates)
2,359 2,376 2,611 2,886 3,051 3,222 3,558 3,804 4,027 4,254 Private
consumption (US$ bn) 4,480 4,564 5,000 5,522 5,843 6,217 6,946 7,497 8,036
8,601 Private consumption per head (US$) 1,331 1,340 1,452 1,586 1,661 1,749
1,934 2,065 2,193 2,325 GDP (US$ bn at PPP) 15,841 16,860 18,176 19,967
21,925 24,050 26,299 28,794 31,323 34,048 GDP per head (US$ at PPP) 4,705
4,951 5,279 5,736 6,233 6,765 7,320 7,933 8,548 9,204 Price inflation (%)
Consumer prices (av) 1.9 1.4 1.9 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.7
2.6 The labour market Labour force (m) 1,687 1,715 1,736
1,770 1,794 1,820 1,846 1,871 1,897 1,922 Current account (US$ bn)
Current-account balance 170.0 223.3 293.0 307.0 364.0 345.5 341.0
357.9 330.1 301.8 Current-account balance (% of GDP) 2.1 2.8 3.3 3.1 3.4 3.0
2.7 2.6 2.2 1.9 Trade balance 183.2 222.5 242.1 266.0 282.7 226.0 228.1
226.2 194.8 160.7 Services balance -57.9 -50.8 -25.6 -48.4 -33.2 -23.8 -36.1
-23.3 -36.8 -39.9 Income balance 25.7 23.5 32.6 42.2 56.7 81.3 83.4 82.1
91.6 93.6 Current transfers balance 19.1 28.2 43.8 47.3 57.8 62.1 65.7 72.9
80.4 87.4 Memorandum items Share of world population (%)
54.8 54.8 54.8 54.8 54.8 54.8 54.7 54.7 54.7 54.7 Share of world GDP (% at
market exchange rates) 25.4 24.9 24.6 24.5 24.3 24.1 24.4 25.1 25.7 26.1 Share
of world GDP (% at PPP) 33.6 34.1 34.9 35.5 36.3 37.0 37.7 38.3 38.8 39.3 Share
of world exports (%)d 26.2 27.0 27.2 27.8 28.3 27.7 28.2 29.5 30.8
31.9 aComprises Australia, Bangladesh, China, Hong Kong, India,
Indonesia, Japan,
Malaysia, New Zealand, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri
Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam. b Economist Intelligence Unit
estimates. c Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. d Includes
intra-regional trade.
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Data summary: Asia and Australasia (excl Japan)
Asia & Australasia (excl Japan)a 2001b 2002b 2003b 2004b 2005c 2006c
2007c 2008c 2009c 2010c Economic growth (% at market exchange-rate weights)
GDP 4.0 5.9 6.1 7.2 6.6 6.7 6.1 6.0 5.7 5.7 Private consumption 4.4 4.8 4.0
5.7 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.7 Government consumption 5.3 5.0 4.1 5.1 4.1 4.1
4.8 5.2 4.7 4.7 Gross investment 2.8 8.9 11.5 13.0 7.5 7.2 6.8 7.2 7.3
7.2 Exports
of goods & servicesd -1.6 12.1 13.9 18.7 11.8 10.8 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.4 Imports
of goods & servicesd -2.9 10.6 12.3 18.4 9.3 10.9 9.6 9.9 10.3 10.1 Domestic
demand 4.0 6.0 6.3 7.9 6.0 5.9 5.8 6.1 6.1 6.1 GDP growth per head 2.7 4.6
4.9 6.0 5.5 5.5 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.7 Economic growth (% at PPP weights)
GDP 5.4 6.4 7.6 8.2 7.9 7.7 7.0 6.9 6.5 6.5 Population, income and
market size Population (m) 3,240 3,278 3,316 3,353 3,390
3,428 3,465 3,502 3,537 3,572 GDP (US$ bn at market exchange rates) 3,852
4,186 4,757 5,459 6,174 6,821 7,450 8,139 8,847 9,592 GDP per head (US$ at
market exchange rates) 1,189 1,277 1,435 1,628 1,821 1,990 2,150 2,324 2,501
2,686 Private consumption (US$ bn) 2,148 2,312 2,573 2,888 3,224 3,556 3,899
4,271 4,683 5,125 Private consumption per head (US$) 663 705 776 861 951
1,037 1,125 1,220 1,324 1,435 GDP (US$ bn at PPP) 12,513 13,451 14,641
16,257 18,022 19,915 21,947 24,227 26,556 29,077 GDP per head (US$ at PPP)
3,862 4,103 4,416 4,848 5,316 5,810 6,334 6,917 7,508 8,141 Price inflation
(%) Consumer prices (av) 2.8 2.2 2.6 3.8 3.7 4.0 3.4 3.2
3.3 3.3 The labour market Labour force (m) 1,619 1,649
1,670 1,704 1,728 1,754 1,780 1,806 1,832 1,858 Current account (US$ bn)
Current-account balance 82.3 110.9 136.7 135.0 198.2 170.0
137.3 136.6 102.7 78.4 Current-account balance (% of GDP) 2.1 2.6 2.9 2.5
3.2 2.5 1.8 1.7 1.2 0.8 Trade balance 113.0 128.7 135.7 133.9 188.8 155.6
125.6 99.7 50.8 8.3 Services balance -14.2 -8.6 -11.7 -10.5 -9.2 -3.8 -13.2
7.5 6.5 17.1 Income balance -43.4 -42.3 -38.6 -43.6 -46.7 -51.1 -49.1 -52.4
-44.2 -44.0 Current transfers balance 27.0 33.1 51.4 55.1 65.3 69.3 74.0
81.8 89.7 97.0 Memorandum items Share of world
population (%) 52.7 52.7 52.8 52.8 52.8 52.8 52.8 52.8 52.8 52.8 Share of
world GDP (% at market exchange rates) 12.3 12.9 13.0 13.3 14.0 14.4 14.2
14.8 15.4 15.9 Share of world GDP (% at PPP) 26.5 27.2 28.1 28.9 29.8 30.6
31.4 32.2 32.9 33.6 Share of world exports (%)d 20.1 21.0 21.4 22.0 22.9
22.5 22.9 24.2 25.5 26.5 External debt Total external
debt (US$ bn) 1,059 1,120 1,248 1,388 1,482 1,598 1,713 1,764 1,849 1,948 Total
external debt (% of GDP) 27.5 26.8 26.2 25.4 24.0 23.4 23.0 21.7 20.9
20.3 Debt-service
ratio, paid (%) 10.1 9.4 8.6 7.5 6.9 6.7 6.2 5.9 5.4 5.0 a Comprises
Australia, Bangladesh, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, New
Zealand, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan,
Thailand and Vietnam. b Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. c Economist
Intelligence Unit forecasts. d Includes intra-regional trade.
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Data summary: Australasia
Australasiaa 2001b 2002b 2003b 2004b 2005c 2006c 2007c 2008c 2009c
2010c Economic
growth (market exchange-rate weights; %) GDP 2.3 4.2 3.2 3.6 2.5 3.2 3.1 3.3
3.1 3.1 Private consumption 2.9 3.9 4.0 5.9 3.3 2.8 2.9 3.1 2.9 2.7 Government
consumption 2.1 3.0 3.5 4.0 3.2 2.3 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.1 Gross investment -4.7
14.8 12.4 7.4 7.1 5.1 3.6 4.1 3.9 3.8 Exports of goods & servicesd 2.5 1.2 -
1.2 4.3 1.6 2.3 4.8 5.0 5.3 5.5 Imports of goods & servicesd -3.2 10.5 10.1
15.3 8.3 4.1 4.9 4.9 5.2 4.8 Domestic demand 0.9 6.2 6.0 5.9 4.3 3.3 3.2 3.4
3.2 3.0 GDP growth per head 1.3 2.9 2.0 2.3 1.3 2.1 2.1 2.4 2.2 2.1 Economic
growth (PPP weights; %) GDP 2.3 4.2 3.2 3.6 2.5 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.1 3.1 Population,
income and market size Population (m) 23 24 24 24 24 25 25 25 25 26 GDP (US$
bn at market exchange rates) 420 473 604 733 818 813 825 839 842 868 GDP per
head (US$ at market exchange rates) 17,984 20,001 25,241 30,275 33,406
32,847 33,026 33,272 33,111 33,827 Private consumption (US$ bn) 248 279 355
432 473 466 470 476 477 488 Private consumption per head (US$) 10,636 11,823
14,849 17,849 19,328 18,828 18,802 18,885 18,762 19,029 GDP (US$ bn at PPP)
618 657 693 735 776 815 857 915 971 1,029 GDP per head (US$ at PPP) 26,492
27,797 28,967 30,375 31,700 32,933 34,317 36,313 38,185 40,109 Price
inflation (%) Consumer prices (av) 4.1 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.7 3.0 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.5 The
labour market Labour force (m) 11.7 12.0 12.2 12.4 12.7 12.8 13.0 13.1 13.2
13.4 Current account (US$ bn) Current-account balance -9.3 -18.9 -33.3 -46.6
-51.3 -50.9 -52.8 -53.1 -53.8 -54.9 Current-account balance (% of GDP) -2.2
-4.0 -5.5 -6.4 -6.3 -6.3 -6.4 -6.3 -6.4 -6.3 Trade balance 3.2 -5.3 -15.8 -
19.6 -16.5 -16.1 -15.1 -13.6 -12.3 -11.1 Services balance 0.4 1.1 1.6 0.1 -
0.4 -0.5 -1.3 -0.6 -1.1 -1.0 Income balance -13.1 -14.7 -19.1 -27.1 -34.4 -
34.3 -36.4 -38.9 -40.5 -42.8 Current transfers balance 0.2 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.1
0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 Memorandum items Share of world population (%) 0.4 0.4
0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Share of world GDP (% at market exchange
rates) 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 Share of world GDP (% at PPP)
1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 Share of world exports (%)d 1.2 1.2
1.1 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 External debt Total external debt (US$ bn)
194.7 226.4 271.8 322.1 368.0 416.0 429.3 421.6 418.9 419.8 Total external
debt (% of GDP) 46.4 47.9 45.0 43.9 45.0 51.2 52.0 50.3 49.7 48.4 Debt-service
ratio, paid (%) 30.7 30.9 26.6 30.2 32.3 38.4 40.8 40.2 38.1 35.7
aComprises Australia and New Zealand.
b Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. c Economist Intelligence Unit
forecasts. d Includes intra-regional trade.
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Data summary: ASEAN
ASEANa 2001b 2002b 2003b 2004b 2005c 2006c 2007c 2008c 2009c 2010c Economic
growth (market exchange-rate weights; %) GDP 1.9 4.7 5.2 6.3 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4
5.2 5.4 Private consumption 4.1 4.6 4.8 6.0 4.8 4.3 4.6 5.0 5.0 5.3 Government
consumption 5.5 5.5 5.6 3.6 7.7 6.3 6.0 5.3 5.2 5.0 Gross investment -3.1
0.6 1.6 12.4 3.5 7.5 10.4 7.6 8.7 6.7 Exports of goods & servicesd -4.9 6.4
9.4 16.6 8.7 7.6 7.1 6.6 6.6 6.5 Imports of goods & servicesd -5.0 6.7 8.0
19.6 9.1 7.8 8.1 7.0 7.5 6.8 Domestic demand 2.3 3.7 4.1 7.3 4.8 5.3 6.2 5.7
6.0 5.6 GDP growth per head 0.4 3.1 3.7 4.7 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.9 4.0 Economic
growth (PPP weights; %) GDP 2.7 4.8 5.3 5.9 5.5 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.5 Population,
income and market size Population (m) 528 536 544 552 560 568 576 584 591
599 GDP (US$ bn at market exchange rates) 559 625 717 785 856 1,004 1,116
1,218 1,320 1,437 GDP per head (US$ at market exchange rates) 1,058 1,167
1,318 1,422 1,527 1,767 1,938 2,088 2,232 2,398 Private consumption (US$ bn)
323 369 418 457 500 586 652 716 780 851 Private consumption per head (US$)
611 689 768 828 892 1,032 1,133 1,227 1,319 1,420 GDP (US$ bn at PPP) 1,898
1,997 2,141 2,332 2,526 2,733 2,973 3,241 3,515 3,813 GDP per head (US$ at
PPP) 3,595 3,725 3,936 4,222 4,509 4,811 5,162 5,553 5,944 6,365 Price
inflation (%) Consumer prices (av) 6.1 6.3 4.5 4.7 7.4 9.1 5.9 4.0 3.6 3.3 The
labour market Labour force (m) 242.0 247.9 252.8 258.8 262.5 267.9 273.1
278.2 283.3 288.7 Current account (US$ bn) Current-account balance 36.6 41.6
56.1 54.3 54.0 55.6 42.0 38.2 29.6 28.1 Current-account balance (% of GDP)
6.6 6.7 7.8 6.9 6.3 5.5 3.8 3.1 2.2 2.0 Trade balance 65.1 68.1 82.8 84.2
86.4 90.5 76.6 69.0 58.2 56.4 Services balance -16.9 -13.5 -19.8 -19.4 -24.4
-24.8 -25.5 -23.2 -21.8 -21.3 Income balance -12.4 -13.9 -17.2 -21.4 -21.5 -
23.2 -22.3 -22.6 -22.3 -23.4 Current transfers balance 0.7 1.0 10.3 10.9
13.5 13.1 13.2 14.9 15.4 16.3 Memorandum items Share of world population (%)
8.6 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.9 Share of world GDP (% at market
exchange rates) 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 Share of world GDP
(% at PPP) 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.4 Share of world exports
(%)d 6.2 6.2 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.8 External debt Total external
debt (US$ bn) 341.2 340.4 345.1 353.4 352.9 353.9 368.6 370.0 374.9 381.2 Total
external debt (% of GDP) 61.1 54.4 48.1 45.0 41.3 35.3 33.0 30.4 28.4
26.5 Debt-service
ratio, paid (%) 11.4 11.4 10.0 8.3 6.3 6.1 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.7 a Comprises
Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.
bEconomist Intelligence Unit estimates.
c Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. d Includes intra-regional trade.
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Data summary: Greater China
Greater Chinaa 2001b 2002b 2003b 2004b 2005c 2006c 2007c 2008c 2009c
2010c Economic growth (market exchange-rate weights; %) GDP 5.3 7.4 8.1 9.2
8.6 8.3 7.4 7.2 6.7 6.6 Private consumption 4.5 5.4 4.5 7.3 6.3 6.5 6.9 7.1
7.0 7.1 Government consumption 8.2 6.4 4.1 5.6 2.2 2.9 5.5 6.9 6.0 5.8 Gross
investment 7.5 11.2 17.2 17.6 9.9 8.1 7.2 7.9 7.8 8.0 Exports of goods &
servicesd -0.3 16.8 19.0 20.1 14.8 12.6 11.7 11.2 10.9 10.7 Imports of goods
& servicesd -1.8 12.3 16.8 16.7 8.6 13.9 11.1 11.9 12.2 12.0 Domestic demand
6.0 7.5 9.0 11.1 7.3 6.8 6.8 7.4 7.2 7.4 GDP growth per head 4.6 6.7 7.5 8.6
8.0 7.7 6.7 6.6 6.3 6.2 Economic growth (PPP weights; %) GDP 7.1 8.5 9.3 9.7
9.4 9.1 8.0 7.8 7.2 7.0 Population, income and market size Population (m)
1,305 1,314 1,322 1,329 1,337 1,345 1,353 1,361 1,367 1,372 GDP (US$ bn at
market exchange rates) 1,780 1,908 2,095 2,414 2,745 3,044 3,366 3,704 4,030
4,356 GDP per head (US$ at market exchange rates) 1,364 1,453 1,586 1,816
2,053 2,264 2,488 2,721 2,949 3,174 Private consumption (US$ bn) 898 935 985
1,097 1,207 1,334 1,493 1,667 1,868 2,079 Private consumption per head (US$)
688 712 746 825 902 992 1,104 1,225 1,367 1,515 GDP (US$ bn at PPP) 6,004
6,544 7,196 8,104 9,113 10,214 11,371 12,660 13,969 15,377 GDP per head (US$
at PPP) 4,599 4,981 5,445 6,097 6,816 7,595 8,406 9,303 10,222 11,204 Price
inflation (%) Consumer prices (av) 0.6 -0.8 0.9 3.5 1.8 1.3 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.0 The
labour market Labour force (m) 769.8 780.4 789.9 797.4 804.1 812.1 820.2
828.4 836.6 845.0 Current account (US$ bn) Current-account balance 45.4 73.5
91.6 102.9 197.3 198.1 191.2 192.6 164.0 140.6 Current-account balance (% of
GDP) 2.6 3.8 4.4 4.3 7.2 6.5 5.7 5.2 4.1 3.2 Trade balance 45.5 63.3 63.8
65.8 144.8 148.8 149.1 138.0 104.0 68.8 Services balance 5.7 8.8 9.4 9.4
13.5 7.5 -5.5 4.3 -5.2 -3.2 Income balance -9.8 -7.2 5.4 10.6 20.1 20.2 23.3
23.1 34.7 41.3 Current transfers balance 4.0 8.6 13.1 17.1 18.9 21.5 24.4
27.2 30.6 33.7 Memorandum items Share of world population (%) 21.2 21.1 21.0
20.9 20.8 20.7 20.6 20.5 20.4 20.3 Share of world GDP (% at market exchange
rates) 5.7 5.9 5.7 5.9 6.2 6.4 6.4 6.7 7.0 7.2 Share of world GDP (% at PPP)
12.7 13.2 13.8 14.4 15.1 15.7 16.3 16.8 17.3 17.8 Share of world exports (%)
d 9.2 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.7 11.7 12.2 13.3 14.4 15.4 External debt Total
external debt (US$ bn) 252.7 261.4 317.0 378.3 412.6 449.5 504.8 550.9 623.2
706.6 Total external debt (% of GDP) 14.2 13.7 15.1 15.7 15.0 14.8 15.0 14.9
15.5 16.2 Debt-service ratio, paid (%) 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.5 3.4 3.0
2.9 a Comprises China, Hong Kong and Taiwan. b Economist Intelligence Unit
estimates. c Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. d Includes
intra-regional trade.
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Data summary: South Asia
South Asiaa 2001b 2002b 2003b 2004b 2005c 2006c 2007c 2008c 2009c
2010c Economic
growth (market exchange-rate weights; %) GDP 4.7 3.6 7.5 8.0 8.1 7.3 7.1 6.8
6.6 6.7 Private consumption 5.1 2.0 6.3 6.4 7.7 7.2 6.4 6.0 6.3 6.0 Government
consumption 1.0 1.7 3.4 8.4 7.4 7.6 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 Gross investment 3.1 8.8
10.0 8.0 7.9 7.7 8.0 9.1 9.5 9.5 Exports of goods & servicesd 6.3 17.2 8.6
29.8 19.2 16.7 13.8 12.6 11.5 11.8 Imports of goods & servicesd 2.7 7.5 7.9
39.9 20.1 13.1 11.5 12.1 12.7 12.1 Domestic demand 4.2 3.5 6.9 7.0 7.7 7.4
6.7 6.7 7.0 6.9 GDP growth per head 3.0 2.0 5.9 6.4 6.6 5.8 5.6 5.3
5.1 5.3 Economic
growth (PPP weights; %) GDP 4.9 3.6 7.8 8.2 8.2 7.4 7.2 6.8 6.7 6.8 Population,
income and market size Population (m) 1,330 1,352 1,373 1,394 1,414 1,435
1,456 1,477 1,498 1,518 GDP (US$ bn at market exchange rates) 610 634 733
844 968 1,043 1,120 1,250 1,396 1,535 GDP per head (US$ at market exchange
rates) 458 469 534 605 684 726 769 847 932 1,011 Private consumption (US$
bn) 410 420 484 547 626 685 737 803 878 950 Private consumption per head
(US$) 308 311 353 392 442 477 506 544 586 625 GDP (US$ bn at PPP) 3,162
3,362 3,674 4,078 4,538 5,009 5,536 6,109 6,708 7,365 GDP per head (US$ at
PPP) 2,377 2,487 2,676 2,926 3,208 3,490 3,802 4,136 4,478 4,851 Price
inflation (%) Consumer prices (av) 3.8 4.2 3.9 4.1 5.0 5.6 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.4 The
labour market Labour force (m) 570.1 582.2 588.4 608.5 621.5 633.8 646.0
658.3 670.7 682.9 Current account (US$ bn) Current-account balance 2.5 11.4
12.4 -0.3 -15.8 -35.2 -44.2 -39.2 -34.3 -31.7 Current-account balance (% of
GDP) 0.4 1.8 1.7 0.0 -1.6 -3.4 -3.9 -3.1 -2.5 -2.1 Trade balance -15.3 -12.6
-18.1 -35.8 -61.1 -90.1 -105.0 -109.3 -114.9 -122.9 Services balance 0.8 3.8
5.2 8.9 16.1 25.2 30.0 36.4 43.7 52.9 Income balance -6.8 -6.7 -7.6 -6.0 -
9.1 -11.2 -12.2 -13.1 -14.3 -16.7 Current transfers balance 23.7 27.0 32.8
32.6 38.3 40.9 43.0 46.9 51.3 55.1 Memorandum items Share of world
population (%) 21.6 21.7 21.8 21.9 22.0 22.1 22.2 22.3 22.4 22.4 Share of
world GDP (% at market exchange rates) 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.4
2.5 Share of world GDP (% at PPP) 6.7 6.8 7.0 7.3 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.1 8.3 8.5 Share
of world exports (%)d 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 External
debt Total
external debt (US$ bn) 153.0 166.6 178.3 187.6 195.0 208.3 221.6 231.9 241.1
252.1 Total external debt (% of GDP) 25.1 26.3 24.3 22.2 20.2 20.0 19.8 18.5
17.3 16.4 Debt-service ratio, paid (%) 13.1 14.6 17.1 9.9 9.1 6.6 6.0 5.7
5.4 4.9 a Comprises Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. b Economist
Intelligence Unit estimates. c Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts.
d Includes
intra-regional trade.
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